Wednesday, November 29, 2017

The lure of trash

Or tranche. The 'oops' is still there. Too, ETFs now are a huge complicating factor. Everyone has seen them only on the upside where they provide a multiplying effect. On the down side, look for squashing to be huge.

This Quora question applies to the theme: Is-Wall-Street-working-on-a-way-to-bundle-student-debt-currently-at-1-5-trillion-dollars-into-tranches-to-sell-to-private-investors-all-over-the-world-like-they-did-with-real-estate-CDOs-prior-to-the-2008-meltdown.

Those finance types, they have to keep with their creativity. Some of these are PhD physicists who ought to know better.

Remarks: Modified: 11/29/2017

11/29/2017 --

Tuesday, September 19, 2017

Oops abound

No post here does not mean that there is not an interest. I see 'oops' all of the time. Some of these almost make me want to write something; it is certain that the urge is there.

So, this week, I read a WSJ op-ed. We can look it up. They have a guy who writes about cars on a regular basis.

This time? He had a mea culpa. I was surprised, too, but really had thought this in the back of my mind. Some dude parks his Mercedes, for a few days, at an airport. He goes off. It was not that long, less than a week.

Heck, I do that many times. Leaving my car at a hotel (park and fly sort of thing) while I jet off somewhere. My car has always been ready when I returned. Except, last year, in the spring, some ant, in the flying stage, got settled in the door's insulation (driver's side). I did not see this. So, plenty of the burgers flew off when I hit the Interstate. But, then I noticed these little things. And, sure, enough, they had established a colony. A quick trip to the car wash took care of most of this. Otherwise, I just picked them off as I saw then for awhile. Eventually, no ants.

This dude? Dead car. Could not open the door. Why? Battery drained by the electronics put in by silly valley. What gives?

Yes, silly valley? But, auto engineers are supposed to have their feet on the ground, on the tires. Features that are not really necessary.

I'll get back to this. But, it does show how we have taken several wrong turns. Silly valley. Say that a lot. Source of oops. Want me to do a litany?

Remarks: Modified: 09/19/2017

09/19/2017 --

Saturday, May 13, 2017

Ten years

Ten years ago, I started this blog one month after I started the truth engineering blog. What precipitated this blog was the 'potemkin' even of the 787 project. With hoopla, a plane was rolled out and touted as being ready to fly. However, the test flight started about two years later.

Why would I have cared? I was watching a local subcontractor who had, formerly, been a Boeing site. The main notion was to have sections that were complete and joined together in Seattle (or wherever the final assembly was to be done). And, arrival of the pieces and first flight was supposed to be a matter of day. Nice concept. It eventually worked out.

But, up-front mouthing off got in the way of engineering. For a long time, this went on. Once the source of the issue was removed and an engineer took over. The program made progress and got into the sky.

And so, that was the end of that, right? Well, for the most part, downstream glitches popped up, but that is normal (out to be expected). The press (harpies) seems to not understand undecidability (which applies to any decision process, not just logic).

In fact, look at the idiots doing business press. They (and investors) want management to forecast to the dime future monetary concerns. What? These are smart folk being the dumbest ones on the planet. Guess what? As the 787 issues were resolved, the financial problems came to fore. Oh Lord.

Myself? I felt like Rip Van Winkle as I had not really paid close attention (for many reasons). So, there are enough posts here that lay out the issues. And, these are not resolved. The Fed (another blog that started later) brought their largess to bear, leaving themselves with a load of toxic crap that still has not been handled.

How to do this? We sure would like to watch this unfold. Also, big Ben tried to taper. That caused a tantrum. Investors? To me, it's like kids in a candy store. Where can we get a mature economy defined?

Given that people err, the 7'oops7 name stuck. Anything complicated has associated error. Business likes to talk risk management. Oh yes, those guys were talking in the 2007/8 timeframe that we would never have another serious downturn. Oh sure, everyone has forgotten? Well, guess what happened soon after that type of bragging.

Yet, there were not perps. None. Fortunately, the press gave us some snapshots of the rogues at a table. They were cowering before Congress, looking for assistance.

In any case, this graphic shows Wikipedia edits starting in 2005. The blogs started in 2007. And, that activity (requiring lots of research) took time. Then, later, the notion of re-looking at American history came to fore, with the added framework of real people who were here through it all. That, folks, needs attention.

To see specifics, go to this post on truth engineering (Ten years).

Remarks: Modified: 05/13/2017

05/13/2017 --

Thursday, April 27, 2017


Below are some thoughts, on the state of things computing. And, I have two solutions that seem to be timely.

Recently, I re-looked at Javascript and was impressed. Why? It felt like being with the Lisp Machine decades ago, That was a powerful environment (the best was having two cards - Lisp and Unix); and, lots of development came thus. 
  • Hence, I wrote this: Code or not.  Be sure to follow the pointer about the 3D graphic engine. My proposal is a truth engine (with a corresponding work bench - one of my labs.  
  • The adaptives - I had the opportunity to experience the results of the newer methods. The first bullet concerns issues that are very much needing attention. The WSJ, recently, had an op-ed about machine learning (et al). One MIT guy was quoted that we do not know. Ah, good professor, we do. Ever listen to an autodidact?
  • A concept needing some attention deals with our psyche. The information would very well apply to the topics of this post: childhood determination
Finally, I wrote this after reading Adam's answer.

 ----- From Quora ------

Adam D'Angelo's answer to How he validated Quora? prompted this thought. I am 1G/2G, by choice. Not that I have not attempted to fit in. However, everywhere I looked it was insanity (yes). Quora stands out for reasons that we can discuss. Codacademy, too, was a fresh breath of air. FB? Not. 3rd Life? Perhaps, Blogger? Great (as cohort of Quora). Wikipedia? Needless to say, the epitome of a lot of things. CMS (Joomla, Drupal, Concrete5, and a whole lot more)? Not (to be discussed).
Aside: One reaction to the rapid rush to change was that I could see the security (and other) downfalls. It’s that other where we need a discussion (Carl, et al). Hence, I settled, for stability, on Linux and non-parametric methods. But, I am now bring in javascript to my HTML/CSS sites (TGSoc lab). As I do this, I’ll blog/discuss the philosophical issues.
The viewpoint? 0, 200, 400, 800. O? Of course, ‘tis now. 800? John and his cronies (this covered a large part of Europe), 200? That bit which created the flyover country. 400? Ah, the key (entry here, colonial times). This all applies (in a sense of symmetry, to this discussion).
So, two points related to various types of bifurcations.
  • My decades of software engineering dealt with highly specific problems, though we, of course, used hi-falutin’ mathematics an’d logics. The thing was that we were driven by users who had to do something. The main problem was managing expectations (divergence twixt a smart human’s look and what is possible via computing - very much applies to deep learning - Google, et al, okay?). Word to introduce? SEI (look it up).
  • Then came along agile, etc. This was driven by the match up of the human mind with the computer. It led, so far, to the muddy cloud (we can pick this apart and see where are the problems). At the same time, a generation came about that could exploit the situation. Guess what, fellas? That 400 is important (take Harvard, first example of youngsters rebelling - of a certain nature - we really need to study these - say, animal house of 1680 at that esteemed institution). So, the world ate up the stuff from the generation (me? only in part, remember 1G/2G in computing - at the leading edge in mathematics and modeling - in my mind ;>). Now, lots of this new computing reinforced imagination. Some of it helped memory (that is common). The driver, though, was the young buck perturbation spaces. Oh yes, we can talk the economic theory, too. Then, they pushed this off on the world. The result? Well, it’s far from a sustainable state (DOD, you goofed, admit it). Too, the young bucks made oodles of money (Stallman can be used as a counterpoint).
Now, Quora emphasizes thought. That is why you see the convergence (of course, the control via rules helps). Some of the answers have been superb. It’s chief competitor is Wikipedia that has the best accumulated summary of a topic that one can find, many times. Note, Wiki has no ads.
Now, it is, in part, the influence by the commercial minds that screwed things up. I can tell you tales. We need to support engineering, too (I agree with the funny tie guy, science is applied engineering - I said that before him). The computer will be a partner. ‘Enuf (Knowledge-based engineering - Wikipedia - old version, see corresponding sections on the Talk page).
And, so, humans are going to drive things. Our abilities are being ignored in the mad dash after all things automated. Our planet grieves. That was an aside. It is great to have the user remain in control. How are we going to do this? Well, I can relate to that given my experience in the 12 years since leaving an advanced computing position (retirement). We all can (and should) participate. Quora has been a great help in the matter. There are, no doubt, other examples.
Now, about code? Yes, everyone ought to. But, it needs to go along with our mental states. And, that is not borg’ing or altering the brain, necessarily. No, psychether is how it happens, in part. It’s more than Zen and such. However, to each her/his interpretation (that is the key, maintaining truth for oneself - autodidacts will be able to help show the way)

---- end ----

And so, let the work begin.

Remarks: Modified: 04/27/2017

04/27/2017 --

Friday, March 31, 2017

We let the genie out of the bottle

This is our first post of 2017. Lots going on. President Trump is now two months in office. How he is doing depends upon the person looking. One big story is that Russia paid for trolls to put out fake news.

You know, we let the genie out of the bottle. If we could go back 20 years, and given what we know, would we have done the internet release any different? I have written that this old guy was appalled at the lackadaisical manner in which it was thrown out to the public. The taxpayer funded its development. Ah, so many discussion to have there.

So, oops all around, don't you think?

But, the computer, in general, is still a source of all sorts of oops. So, we'll get back to that. I have been doing Quora for almost two years now. It has a question-answer format, but it also supports blogs. So, I'll be doing a blog there and here.

A question of late: If the US lost billions in the housing bubble burst of '07 and '08 (I lost 2/3 of my 401k), but it was all on paper, where did the money go? The link is to my answer. I have talked about that event here and in the Fedaerated blog. So, here  are some of those posts there.
So, the computer is misused by the ca-pital-sino. And, part of that configuration uses (guess what?) the internet. Ah, yes genies were let out of the bottle. And, it was under Clinton's time of reign.

Posts in related blogs: Genie out of the bottle and Bottles and genies.

Remarks: Modified: 03/31/2017

03/31/2017 --

Friday, December 30, 2016

Summary, 2016

Remarks: Modified: 12/30/2016

12/30/2016 --

Tuesday, November 8, 2016

New Day, again

Back in 2009, we wrote a post (A New Day). After eight years under Bush, the country was starting down a new path. Notice that I mention fiance starting to look at its fiduciary duty. Gosh, that took a long time.

Today, we are in the cusp of a new path. It's noon, so no winner is known. How things will unfold the new two months is uncertain. But, we wanted to set the tone for our re-looks.

Essentially, we had, with this election, the flower-child times coming to fruit. There is a lot to think about with this. These types of transition times allow look backs without having to apologize.

Flower child? Yes, those idealistic, anti-establishment little folk who had their summer in 1967. That little bubble burst not long after. Rushing forward, we had bubbles bursting when the earlier post was written. The depth of the recessional times had not been seen. Actually, they never went away for some folks. We can write about all of that.

One candidate is 70; the other is 69. So, 49 years ago, they would have been 21 and 20, respectively. What were they up to in that seminal year? We have to look at that.

In the past 49 years, how many oops have we seen? Ah, an endless list have we with which to occupy ourselves.

See sister blog: Truth Engineering.

Remarks: Modified: 11/08/2016

11/08/2016 --

Tuesday, October 25, 2016

The road moved

Out in the western region, there are roads that go for miles. They all follow the terrain. And, so, driving allows one to get familiar with our huge space of country. That is an integral part of the American Dream. Move about. Do so in peace and safety, somewhat.

The robot-car developers do not understand this. Or, are they just so intent on enslaving with their overlay via the muddy cloud, that their brains are warped. Power corrupts, as the saying goes.

So, people have accidents. Distractions are a major cause. I describe one below.

Disclosure: The past decade has seen me put 250K miles on the same vehicle on roads all of the U. S. In none of these trips was there some mobile device of the dumbing type involved. Yes, not twit, nor email; just music. The old FM/AM was sufficient augmented with CDs and tapes.

So, yesterday, I was buzzing along. Interstate situation. That means, 2 lanes each way, shoulder, markings, and such. And, out west. High speed. So, I was somewhere below 80 (mph) and the road had been mostly unchanging for several 10s of miles. Traversing a huge valley, okay?

I saw a car come up and pass, probably in the excess of 95 (mph). I turned my head to look, to the left, of course. Young lady with a heavy foot. Let's hope that she will be able to handle the consequences of driving like that.

Not more than a few seconds after I turned my head, I heard thump (and felt the vibration). I was being Newtonian. The road engineers put in a slight shift, but enough for my vehicle to go out of the bounds. It was not marked.

Marked? If you look now, you'll see curves marked heavily if they exceed a limit. Why? People have blithely gone off the road too many times on curves that just went past controllable conditions. I have taken those for years (night and day) with no problem. But, I do appreciate the warning.

It does not take much of a road change to cause havoc to the unaware. Nothing to worry about. You, the driver, are supposed to pay attention.

So, yesterday, the front-seat driver said, you went off the road. I said, no, the road moved away. Now, many try to correct the situation and do it too quickly. That is wrong. You just ease back. The thumps give you some additional information. And, in the better states, they are off the right line. Some have the thumps right at the line which does not give you much leeway. It is easy to drift off to the right just from subtle changes in elevation. Road warp, so to speak.


Now why would someone drive in such a situation with a dumbing device being in their face? In long stretches, there can be many road changes due to natural causes or man-made messes. Too, at a high speed, the amount of yardage covered accumulates quickly.

And, with a situation of an unexpected curve, how much time and yardage is lost before the mind gets back to the task of driving?

Making robot cars is no the answer. In fact, there are rules of the road (driving counsels) that we need to get specified. We'll try to write one of those soon.

Remarks: Modified: 10/25/2016

10/25/2016 --

Friday, September 30, 2016

Ease versus quality

This summer, I ran across several cases that puzzled me. I saw workers doing a process that was guaranteed to produce poor quality, as in, have poor results.

Yet, they blithely went about the work. Machoism? Idiots? Management intervention (same thing)?

In the first case, I asked some guy why they did it this way. You see, they had to do it over. He said that it was easier.

What? Where did we lose our sense of working for purpose?

Later, I talked to one manager. I said, your guys are doing things to make their job easier, not to do it better. He said, that's not right. However, I think that he was just pushing off the comment.

No wonder things are going to pot everywhere. Recalls up the wazoo. Shoddy work all around.

In another case, the guy said that this was the modern way. What? The older method gave better results. Matter of style? Not really.


Now, at the same time, we see an emphasis on self-auditing. What idiot thought of that?

Remarks: Modified: 09/30/2016

09/30/2016 --